Auditable probabilities you can defend

The problem

A probability without a source, an as-of time, or a stated methodology isn't defensible in a risk memo — and cross-venue comparisons that quietly assume equivalence can be flat-out wrong.

What Predict Here gives you

• Every published number carries its source, as-of time, and methodology version, so a figure in a memo can be traced back to exactly where it came from.
• A semantic verification state on every cross-venue mapping, so a comparison is labeled honestly instead of assumed.
• A corrections policy: when a computation changes, it gets a new version identifier and a documented backfill — history is never silently rewritten.

Go deeper

The full write-up of what PH Composite means, the semantic verification states, and the corrections policy lives on our methodology page.