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Result set Mon 30 Nov 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Settlement prices against one-minute prices: Kalshi's November high and low count only daily front-month settlements; Polymarket's November touch counts any one-minute high or low on its Pyth feed.
Polymarket Intl · Kalshi
Open market recordResult set Mon 30 Nov 2026, 5:00 PM ET
Kalshi fixes on Pyth's Brent feed at one minute.
Kalshi
Open market recordSame week, two different contracts, different results: Kalshi “Above $2.999” resolved No; Polymarket International “↓ $2.90” resolved Yes.
A close at one minute and a touch at any minute are different tests on two different Pyth feeds, and neither is the cash price.
Kalshi · Polymarket Intl
Open market recordResult set Fri 13 Nov 2026, 5:00 PM ET
Kalshi asks where natural gas is at 5:00 PM ET on Friday; Polymarket asks whether it touched a level at any minute of the week, on another Pyth feed. One week can answer them differently.
Kalshi · Polymarket Intl
Open market recordResult set Mon 30 Nov 2026, 5:00 PM ET
One minute on the last day of the month decides it, on the same Pyth feed as the weekly contracts, and the rule text names no contract month.
Kalshi
Open market recordTrading ends Sun 29 Nov 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Same AAA number, three questions: Kalshi's value on 30 November, Kalshi's November high and low (strictly beyond a level), and Polymarket's November touch read at 10:00 AM ET each day, where a value equal to the level counts.
Kalshi · Polymarket Intl
Open market recordCurrent venue status is unavailable. Scheduled trading end: Sun 29 Nov 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Diesel settles on AAA's national average on one day; EIA's Monday survey is a different measurement of the same pump price, and the two have not matched week to week.
Kalshi
Open market recordFri 23 Oct, 5:00 PM ET to Fri 30 Oct, 5:00 PM ET; 672 of 672 intervals published
Over the 168 hours ERCOT's real-time price averaged $33.87/MWh at the Houston hub, the price Kalshi's weekly contract settles on, and $36.86/MWh at the Houston load zone when weighted by the Coast weather-zone load.
Kalshi
Open market recordResult set Tue 1 Dec 2026, 12:59 AM ET
An average of every published price in the month: ERCOT's own 15-minute prices settle it, negative prices count, and the 1 November clock change adds four intervals; PJM's version averages hourly prices on Eastern time.
Kalshi
Open market recordNo change at the 28 Oct meeting
A shared scheduled decision does not make each product's rate and resolution rules identical.
Kalshi · Polymarket Intl
Open market record9 meetings, Oct 2025 to Oct 2026
Across 9 meetings Kalshi settled a median of 8.1 minutes after the statement (6.5 to 13.7); Polymarket's median market took between 2.03 and 3.89 hours, and 5 of its markets were disputed.
Kalshi · Polymarket Intl
Open market record3 dated cases with linked sources
Dated, linkable records of contracts that settled differently across venues, or only after disputes.
Kalshi · Polymarket Intl
Open market recordDecision Wed 9 Dec 2026, 2:00 PM ET
One meeting, three rulebooks: each venue words its outcomes differently and states its own rule for a change that falls between them, for a cancelled meeting and for the time it settles.
Kalshi · Polymarket Intl · Polymarket US
Open market recordResult: Democratic Party. All three venues have paid out.
Senate control: Kalshi reads the party of the President pro tempore on 1 February 2027, both Polymarkets count voting seats won, and a 50–50 split goes to the party holding the Vice Presidency on the Polymarkets.
Kalshi · Polymarket Intl · Polymarket US
Open market recordResult: Democratic Party. All three venues have paid out.
House control: Kalshi reads the party of the Speaker on 1 February 2027, both Polymarkets count voting seats won, and a chamber with no majority goes to the party of the first elected Speaker on the Polymarkets.
Kalshi · Polymarket Intl · Polymarket US
Open market record