Where every value in the workspaces comes from, when it was read, and what the data rights allow for this request.
Predict Here does not execute trades. Different venues measure different things, so their prices are not the same event.
Par yields in percent. Change = decision-day close minus previous business day close. 2025 rows from the 2025 file. Results: Federal Reserve FOMC statements.
From Kalshi and Polymarket settlement records, as published in Predict Here's research paper "Same Question, Different Contract". Kalshi: minutes from the FOMC statement to settlement. Polymarket: median and longest hours across each meeting's markets.
4 Sep to 23 Oct as published in Predict Here's research paper "Natural Gas Has More Than One Price"; 30 Oct from Kalshi's recorded expiration value (2.883) and EIA's spot (2.42). Kalshi settles on the Pyth NATGAS feed for markets settling from 4 Sep 2026. Same calendar date; different instruments and sampling methods.
EIA release of 4 Nov 2026.
EIA release of 4 Nov 2026.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update, 3 Nov 2026). Public domain. Monday prices from EIA's own survey.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update, 3 Nov 2026). Public domain. Monday prices from EIA's own survey.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (release of 4 Nov 2026). Public domain. A physical cargo price, not a futures price.
ERCOT's public daily display (one page per operating day, Central prevailing time). Each row is one hub and one operating day: the count of 15-minute prices shown and their exact sum, minimum and maximum. 1 Nov 2026 has 100 intervals because the clock fell back. A day with fewer than 96 prices lists only the prices ERCOT displayed.
Public ERCOT data, added up and changed in no way. One row per window, hub, load zone and weather-zone load. hubSum and zoneSum are the exact sums of the 15-minute prices ERCOT displayed in the window (intervals of expectedIntervals). hubLoadProduct and zoneLoadProduct are the exact sums, over the hours used, of the hour's load times the sum of its four prices; loadSum is the exact sum of the used hours' load; a load-weighted average is the product divided by 4 times loadSum. An hour is used only when all four prices and its load were displayed and their labels agree; every other hour is listed in skippedHours. Weather zones and load zones do not share boundaries, so the weather-zone load is a shape proxy, to be replaced by the client's meter data. Kalshi weeks are the windows of the settled weekly power events in powerChecks (Friday 5:00 PM ET to Friday 5:00 PM ET); a month starts at Central midnight of its first operating day, and a month held in part ends with the last day held.
Public ERCOT data, one row per hour of a window that a recorded case charts: the sum of the hour's four 15-minute prices at the hub and at the load zone, and the hour's load in the weather zones (MW over the hour, so MWh). Hour starts are UTC instants.
Venue data: Kalshi's public API record of settled weekly ERCOT power events, as recorded. Not for download, print or export.
Dated, linkable facts shown with the Public record status. Items marked secondary rest on secondary coverage only.
Contract specifications only. Prices for futures, options and funds need a licensed data feed; until one is connected they show as Licence pending, and a broker can paste their own quote, which stays in their browser.
Every row is read from the venue's own published metadata or terms and carries its source; nothing here is a forecast.
Who can use which venue or route, by client type, with the date each fact was read. Venues change eligibility without notice; check with the venue before relying on a route. Predict Here routes no orders.
Each row names its bundle series; results come from the venues' captured market records, the public datasets or the live view.
the result is the venue's captured market record.
Kalshi records AAA's Monday value; EIA publishes its own Monday survey.
Kalshi records AAA's Monday value; EIA publishes its own Monday survey.
A futures-linked feed at one minute against a physical cargo assessment for the day.
2 weeks, 16 Oct 2026, 4:00 PM CT to 30 Oct 2026, 4:00 PM CT (Kalshi states 5:00 PM ET). Predict Here's average of ERCOT's displayed prices, rounded to cents with halves away from zero, against the value Kalshi recorded.