Enter what your client is . The finder lines up event contracts beside futures, options and funds: what each pays on, how it pays, what it costs at your client's size, who can use it and what it leaves uncovered. Open a real case below and the finder fills the inputs from real data. Energy cases cover WTI crude oil, Brent crude oil, natural gas, gasoline, diesel and ERCOT power. Your client's figures stay in this browser. No order is submitted. Predict Here compares instruments and routes nothing.
| Commodity | Case | Settles on | 50¢ crossing | Public reference | Fixing minus EIA spot (different instruments) | Next fixing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI crude oil | Open | Intraday touch | —Every event of this case is a touch, which has no single centre. | 99.64 $/bbl Public record 3 Nov 2026 | — | Mon 30 Nov 2026, 7:00 PM ET |
| Brent crude oil | Open | Close at a stated time | Reading the venue | 107.03 $/bbl Public record 3 Nov 2026 | -32.77 to -6.44 $/bbl Observed | Mon 30 Nov 2026, 5:00 PM ET |
| Natural gas | Open | Close at a stated time 24/7 index, 5:00 PM ET close; no futures month | Reading the venue | 2.63 $/MMBtu Public record 3 Nov 2026 | +0.019 to +0.463 $/MMBtu Observed | Fri 13 Nov 2026, 5:00 PM ET |
| Gasoline | Open | A published value on a stated date | Reading the venue | 4.153 $/gal Public record 2 Nov 2026 | -0.0065 to +0.0246 $/gal Observed | Sun 29 Nov 2026, 11:59 PM ET |
| Diesel | Open | A published value on a stated date | Reading the venue | 6.292 $/gal Public record 2 Nov 2026 | -0.0655 to +0.1217 $/gal Observed | Sun 29 Nov 2026, 11:59 PM ET |
| Texas power | Open | Average of every price in a period | Reading the venue | 27.10 $/MWh Derived North Hub so far this month, 579 of 2,884 intervals | Method check: 6 of 6 equal Observed | Tue 1 Dec 2026, 12:59 AM ET |
Settlement prices against one-minute prices: Kalshi's November high and low count only daily front-month settlements; Polymarket's November touch counts any one-minute high or low on its Pyth feed.
Brent has two prices here: Kalshi fixes on Pyth's Brent feed at one minute, and EIA publishes a physical cargo price that sat above every Friday fixing from 4 Sep to 30 Oct 2026.
A close at one minute and a touch at any minute are different tests on two different Pyth feeds, and neither is the cash price.
Kalshi asks where natural gas is at 5:00 PM ET on Friday; Polymarket asks whether it touched a level at any minute of the week, on another Pyth feed. One week can answer them differently.
One minute on the last day of the month decides it, on the same Pyth feed as the weekly contracts, and the rule text names no contract month.
Same AAA number, three questions: Kalshi's value on 30 November, Kalshi's November high and low (strictly beyond a level), and Polymarket's November touch read at 10:00 AM ET each day, where a value equal to the level counts.
Diesel settles on AAA's national average on one day; EIA's Monday survey is a different measurement of the same pump price, and the two have not matched week to week.
Over the 168 hours ERCOT's real-time price averaged $33.87/MWh at the Houston hub, the price Kalshi's weekly contract settles on, and $36.86/MWh at the Houston load zone when weighted by the Coast weather-zone load.
An average of every published price in the month: ERCOT's own 15-minute prices settle it, negative prices count, and the 1 November clock change adds four intervals; PJM's version averages hourly prices on Eastern time.
One meeting, three rulebooks: each venue words its outcomes differently and states its own rule for a change that falls between them, for a cancelled meeting and for the time it settles.