DemoSelect an exact native product and outcome before entering analysis assumptions.
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Choose an exact native product, then analyze that selected contract or open the named Fed walkthrough.
3 of 3 · permitted evidence and external references
Crypto · 144 prices · 0 books
Track one exact Bitcoin threshold contract and inspect its native price history.
Learning prompt: Similar thresholds can use different benchmarks, fixing times and equality rules.Macro · 323 prices · 0 books
Follow a macro contract from recorded history through an explicitly assumed position.
Learning prompt: A shared scheduled decision does not make each product's rate and resolution rules identical.Politics · 331 prices · 0 books
Keep one exact Senate-control contract and outcome available for event-risk research.
Learning prompt: Venue-specific control triggers and unresolved tie or attribution branches need separate review.External discovery links and case descriptions are not retained observations, admitted terms or rights evidence. Exact product rows below are scoped to native identities.
One row per admitted product and outcome in the selected case. Search, category, venue, evidence and optional-reference filters apply here too.
| Case / exact identity | Recorded window (UTC) | Price / book / rule records | Native price change | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 Fed decisionKALSHI · KXFEDDECISION-26OCT-H0 · KXFEDDECISION-26OCT · YES (YES) | Oct 9, 2026, 10:00:00 AM – Oct 16, 2026, 8:00:00 AM | 158 prices · 0 books · 0 rule versions | UnavailableHistorical rule effective time is unavailable; no rule-dependent change or baseline is reported. | |
| October 2026 Fed decisionPOLYMARKET_INTERNATIONAL · 2589812 · 0xdf9bf27ee5757c55b44b8b9826ddc9ec3a8809aa3278634c45edbb7fc8f1a3e3 · YES (111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462682726460921782993748) | Oct 9, 2026, 9:00:31 AM – Oct 16, 2026, 8:16:15 AM | 165 prices · 0 books · 0 rule versions | UnavailableHistorical rule effective time is unavailable; no rule-dependent change or baseline is reported. |
Macro · event overview
No exact native product selected
Native quote values only · no cross-venue conversion or interpolation.
Select one exact native product before viewing its price observations.
No baseline, percentage-point change or inferred movement is shown.
Recorded archive
Coverage between retained captures is unknown. Permission details are available under Sources.
Macro · research prompt
Follow a macro contract from recorded history through an explicitly assumed position.
A shared scheduled decision does not make each product's rate and resolution rules identical.