House control 2026: settlement terms

What this page answers: The sources and terms for this market record.

SettledResult: Democratic Party. All three venues have paid out.

Case

Settlement terms by event

What each event of this case settles on, side by side: the source, the window, the rounding and what happens when the value equals the level.

Public record

Term	Kalshi · House control, party of the Speaker on 1 Feb 2027	Polymarket International · House control, seats won	Polymarket US · House control, seats won
Result is set	Kalshi: reads who holds the office at Mon 1 Feb 2027, 10:00 AM ET	Polymarket International: counts seats won; can stay open until 4 Jan 2027	Polymarket US: counts seats won; can stay open until 1 Feb 2027
Source	Reading the venue	Reading the venue	Reading the venue
Instrument	Reading the venue	Reading the venue	Reading the venue
Measures	Reading the venue	Reading the venue	Reading the venue
Window	Reading the venue	Reading the venue	Reading the venue
Rounding	Reading the venue	Reading the venue	Reading the venue
Equal to the level	Reading the venue	Reading the venue	Reading the venue
If no data is published	Reading the venue	Reading the venue	Reading the venue

Our plain-English reading of each contract’s rule text, shown while it matches the text we reviewed.

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